In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mandela Barnes is supported by 51% and incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is the choice of 44%, while 1% say "neither," 3% say they don't know and 1% decline to answer. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Lt. Gov. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . 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Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. More from Yorkshire Post. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. Mandela Barnes in his bid for a third term in office. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. IE 11 is not supported. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. Keep updated on the latest news and information. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Mandela Barnes. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Morry Gash/Associated Press In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. A Fox News survey of. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Sign up for notifications from Insider! 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Develop The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Most young women are not. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. All rights reserved. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Sign up now! It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Ukraine News. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. Lt. Gov. Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Yorkshire Post. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. 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